KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 75%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
8369,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
19.0% / 24.5%
Spread
5.5 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
27. Juni 25, 20:45 UTC1. Jan. 50, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill a human walk on the Moon again before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWill the Falcon 9 Family of rockets launch more times in 2026 than in 2025?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiNatural Disaster in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
If humans have a self-sufficient colony of at least 10 people reside on Mars for at least one Earth year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:ReutersThe Washington PostSemaforThe InformationThe Wall Street JournalBBC NewsCNNNBC NewsCBS NewsABC NewsFox NewsMSNBCScientific AmericanNatureScience MagazineSpace NewsSpaceflightNowNASAthe European Space AgencySpaceXthe China National Space AdministrationRoscosmosthe Indian Space Research Organisationthe Japan Aerospace Exploration AgencyBlue OriginVirgin Galacticthe Mars Societythe Planetary SocietyThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg News
Offene Märkte
SpaceKALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 7+4.0pt93%
- Above 8+26.0pt70%
- Above 97%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 348.924,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 60.520,8 €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+0.3pt98%
- Google-0.5pt1%
- OpenAI+0.1pt1%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes51%
- No49%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 254.441,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 29.846,2 €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic88.1%
- Google-0.3pt7.9%
- Meta-0.1pt2%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- October 31-0.1pt96%
- Super Heavy booster explodes?-1.0pt89%
- Successful splash down?+15.5pt83%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+4.0pt72%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-5.0pt41%
- Before May 1, 2027-13.0pt37%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?
- Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
- Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will humans colonize Mars before 2050??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 75% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will humans colonize Mars before 2050? entschieden?
- Will humans colonize Mars before 2050? soll am 1. Januar 2050 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will humans colonize Mars before 2050? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If humans have a self-sufficient colony of at least 10 people reside on Mars for at least one Earth year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.