Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
OpenAI 50%+4.5ptFührend unter 19 Optionen
Marktqualitat
59 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
2912,9 €
Liquidität
12.009,9 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
4.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
18. Sept. 26, 00:03 UTC1. Dez. 26, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
PolymarketSecond-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
PolymarketThird-best AI Agent Lab end of November?
PolymarketMajor company suffers serious damage from AI agent in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI agent autonomously discover and report a novel security vulnerability (assigned CVE) by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI agent mass-produce mass-consumed creative fiction (>1000 readers) on a public platform by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
- Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
- AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time.
- If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard.
Offene Märkte
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $79,750 or above99%
- $79,500 or above99%
- $79,000 or above99%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,4 Mio. €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,000 or above+1.0pt98%
- $65,500 or above98%
- $73,500 or above-2.0pt97%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 512.512,7 €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes56.4%
- No43.6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 284.887,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 284.305,1 €
KALSHIETH price on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $1,800 or above99%
- $2,000 or above98%
- $2,480 or above98%
+37 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 256.960,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 256.928,7 €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
- 180-199+6.0pt40.8%
- 200-219+3.0pt35.9%
- 220-239-3.5pt10.7%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 20, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
- $80,600 or above99%
- $80,200 or above99%
- $80,700 or above98%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 359.338,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 227.199,6 €
- Where will it rain on Sep 20, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
- Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 20, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
- Google market share this week
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 20, 2026?
- ETH price range on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 20, 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November??
- Polymarket bewertet OpenAI mit 50% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November? entschieden?
- Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November? soll am 1. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.