Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
OpenAI 58%-0.5ptFührend unter 19 Optionen
OpenAI 58%-0.5ptMarktqualitat
62 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
4485,6 €
Liquidität
5079,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+31.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
1. Okt. 26, 14:02 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
PolymarketSecond-best AI Agent Lab end of November?
PolymarketThird-best AI Agent Lab end of December?
PolymarketSecond-best AI Lab end of December?
PolymarketWhen will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
KalshiWhich lab will have the #1 model on the arena.ai Agent leaderboard on November 2, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
- Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
- AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time.
- If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard.