Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Mars 74.1%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Mars 74.1%Prognostiker
33
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet23. Apr. 23, 17:36 UTC2. Jan. 03, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
KalshiWill a new planet be discovered in our solar system by 2035?
Manifold MarketsIs there a Black Hole in our Solar System?
Manifold MarketsWill we discover a black hole in our solar system before 2030?
Manifold MarketsBy the end of 2040, will there be strong evidence of life (of non-terrestrial origin) in our solar system?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of November?
PolymarketRegeln
Can be planets, moons, novel space stations at Langrage points
- Resolves to:
- First non-earth location that has humans living on it for 1+ years with an intention of living there long-term