Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 87.8%
Prognostiker
44
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet11. Mai 23, 19:56 UTC20. Dez. 97, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will we discover a black hole in our solar system before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a new planet be discovered in our solar system by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWhere will humans first colonize in our solar system?
Manifold MarketsBy the end of 2040, will there be strong evidence of life (of non-terrestrial origin) in our solar system?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of November?
PolymarketLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
See this Sixty Symbols video.
- This market closes when scientific consensus has reached near certainty on this issue, either by finding a black hole, or by exploring the solar system enough that it's considered essentially impossible.
- Close date on this market will be extended indefinitely.
- Note that potential man-made black holes, such as those some have proposed could occur in particle colliders, do not count.
- This question refers to black holes as might be found by astronomers.
