Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 50.6%
Prognostiker
473
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 53 Minuten
Verzogert23. März 24, 19:19 UTC2. Jan. 45, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Barack Obama be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWill we get fusion reactors before a human walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before a human walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWhich Country will be First to Successfully land a human that walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiWill Elon Musk go to space by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Open until either event happens
- See: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-be-the-first-person
- See: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-ever-walk-on-mars
- See: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-ever-walk-on-the-moo
- See: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-ever-orbit-or-walk-o
- Update 2025-02-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Resolution Criteria:
