Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 98.9%
Prognostiker
12
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet11. Sept. 24, 09:11 UTC31. Dez. 26, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Elon Musk ever go to jail after being convicted of a crime?
Manifold MarketsWill any current or former US president go to space before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Jeff Bezos go to space before 2028?
PolymarketWill Tom Cruise go to Space by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich of Tumbles, Mira, or Strutheo will go to space first?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiRegeln
This market predicts whether Elon Musk will travel to space (reaching at least 100 km above Earth) by December 31, 2026.
- The market resolves to "Yes" if reputable sources confirm that Musk has gone to space by this date, either aboard a SpaceX or other spacecraft.
- If no such event occurs by the deadline, the market resolves to "No."