Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 86%+15.0pt
Nein 86%+15.0ptMarktqualitat
40 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
1,1 €
Liquidität
427,5 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
11.0% / 18.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
29. Sept. 26, 23:44 UTC1. Jan. 28, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What will Jeff Bezos say during Special Report with Bret Baier?
KalshiWill Jeff Bezos ever orbit or walk on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill Jeff Bezos spend a month in outer space?
Manifold MarketsWill Jeff Bezos spend a week in outer space?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk or Jeff Bezos personally travel to the Moon aboard a vehicle from one of their own companies before 2036?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jeff Bezos is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level.
- Whether Jeff Bezos crosses the internationally recognized Kármán line will not impact this market's resolution.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.