Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 88.5%
Prognostiker
10
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet28. März 24, 07:38 UTC29. März 54, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Jeff Bezos spend a week in outer space?
Manifold MarketsWill Jeff Bezos spend a day in outer space?
Manifold MarketsWill Jeff Bezos spend a year in outer space?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk spend a month in outer space?
Manifold MarketsWill Jeff Bezos go to space before 2028?
PolymarketWill the US exit the Outer Space Treaty?
KalshiRegeln
The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met.
- If Jeff Bezos spends at least 31 days consecutively above the Karmen Line (100 km altitude), then this market resolves YES.
- If he dies before this happens, this market resolves NO.
- For purposes of this market, “Jeff Bezos” is only Jeffrey Preston Bezos, founder of Amazon.com, born on January 12, 1964.
- I will not bet in this market.
- Related markets: @/jks/will-jeff-bezos-spend-a-day-in-oute @/jks/will-jeff-bezos-spend-a-week-in-out @/jks/will-jeff-bezos-spend-a-month-in-ou (this market) @/jks/will-jeff-bezos-spend-a-year-in-out