Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
8.0 Pkt. (24h)One-OffWissenschaftWeather
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 75%-8.0pt
Marktqualitat
66 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
440,5 €
Liquidität
4506,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
75.0% / 77.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Minuten
5. Juni 25, 16:451. Jan. 50, 4:59
Trends
Regeln
If the annual global mean surface temperature anomaly has reached or exceeded +2.0°C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900 average) in any calendar year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:NASA Goddard
Institute for Space StudiesNCEIBerkeley EarthUK Met Office Hadley Centre (HadCRUT)
- At least two of the Source Agencies must report that we have hit the 2.0°C threshold.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050??
- Kalshi bewertet Yes mit 75% (Stand: 1. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050? entschieden?
- Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050? soll am 1. Januar 2050 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the annual global mean surface temperature anomaly has reached or exceeded +2.0°C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900 average) in any calendar year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.