PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 77.2%+2.0pt
Marktqualitat
32 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
271,4 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
13.0% / 32.0%
Spread
19.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+9.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
12. Nov. 25, 22:09 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will I get a Gold Medal on USAMO 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a junior high school student win gold medal at the 2026 Indonesia National Mathematical Olympiad?
Manifold MarketsWho will win gold medal at 2026 Indonesia National Math Olympiad?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiWhen will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
KalshiHow many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
- The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/).
- If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.3pt61.4%
- ChatGPT22.8%
- Grok-2.0pt5.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 89.153,1 €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-1.0pt62.6%
- 2027-1.5pt30.3%
- 2026-2.5pt7.1%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,-4.0pt86%
- November 30,-1.5pt84%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+7.0pt79%
- claude-opus-5-max+2.0pt5%
- claude-opus-5-high-2.0pt4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202797%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 202794%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,4 Mio. €
POLYMARKETGemini 4.0 released by which date?
- November 30-3.0pt87%
- October 31-5.0pt72%
- September 30-18.0pt11%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Tencent market share this week
- Anthropic market share this week
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI market share this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 77% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? entschieden?
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.