Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 21:52 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 56.5%
Prognostiker
21
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet28. Apr. 26, 03:29 UTC21. März 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
PolymarketTime between AI winning IMO gold medal and AI winning IMO grand challenge (see description)
Manifold MarketsWill someone with the name Rigoberto/Rigobert win an Oscar, Olympic Gold Medal, or a US Congress Election by EOY2028?
Manifold MarketsWho Will Win an Individual Gold Medal at the 2028 Olympic Games?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. win the gold medal in Men's Basketball at the 2028 Summer Olympics in Los Angeles?
Manifold MarketsWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
I am male and I will be a junior next year, aiming for USAMO gold.
- I got 29 on JMO26, 771617 top day1; the Top Honors cutoff is 30, with or without tiebrakers.
- I fakesolved P5 in contest and got docked on P3 from a 7 (I believe).
- This market is created to encourage myself to study harder, so I reserve the right to bet YES and not sell YES on this market.
