Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 56.5%
Prognostiker
21
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet28. Apr. 26, 03:29 UTC21. März 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
PolymarketWill a junior high school student win gold medal at the 2026 Indonesia National Mathematical Olympiad?
Manifold MarketsWho will win #1 Gold Medal in the 2026 Indonesia National Informatics Olympiad?
Manifold MarketsTime between AI winning IMO gold medal and AI winning IMO grand challenge (see description)
Manifold MarketsWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
PolymarketOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
KalshiRegeln
I am male and I will be a junior next year, aiming for USAMO gold.
- I got 29 on JMO26, 771617 top day1; the Top Honors cutoff is 30, with or without tiebrakers.
- I fakesolved P5 in contest and got docked on P3 from a 7 (I believe).
- This market is created to encourage myself to study harder, so I reserve the right to bet YES and not sell YES on this market.