Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 65%
Prognostiker
5
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet28. Sept. 24, 22:16 UTC2. Jan. 01, 02:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 election, what will the annualised GDP growth rate be over his term?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?
Manifold MarketsSouth Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q3 2026
KalshiUS share of global GDP in 2026
KalshiUS real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
KalshiRegeln
This question is an exploration of the "growth explosion" hypothesis that would come as a result of AI.
- Specifically its effect on the labor part of a labor-capital-technology model of an economy.
- introduction to the idea:
- https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/24108787/ai-economic-growth-explosive-automation
- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XVyurFOgUjM
Offene Märkte
EconomyKALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.3%+5.0pt98%
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.2%98%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 247.651,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 79.401,2 €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No96%
- Yes-4.0pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 3,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 18.601,7 €
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above 0.0%+1.0pt99%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 131.317,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETUS recession by end of 2026?
- No+2.0pt89.1%
- Yes-2.0pt10.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 13.129,7 €
KALSHIUnemployment in September
- Above 3.8%+5.0pt98%
- Above 3.7%97%
- Above 3.9%+4.0pt93%
+11 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 54.060,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No72%
- Yes+4.0pt28%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 379.091,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 9252,3 €
- CPI core in October
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- CPI in October
- Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
- CPI core in September
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- How high will unemployment get in 2026?
- US Nominal GDP in 2026
- China unemployment rate in September
- September 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP
- CPI in November
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will global GDP growth rate (real) exceed 21% by the end of the 21st century??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 65% (Stand: 17. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will global GDP growth rate (real) exceed 21% by the end of the 21st century? entschieden?
- Will global GDP growth rate (real) exceed 21% by the end of the 21st century? soll am 2. Januar 2201 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will global GDP growth rate (real) exceed 21% by the end of the 21st century? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This question is an exploration of the "growth explosion" hypothesis that would come as a result of AI.