Will global GDP growth exceed 10% for the 12 months following the creation of AGI?

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Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will global GDP growth exceed 10% for the 12 months following the creation of AGI??

Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 65.9% (Stand: 22. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird Will global GDP growth exceed 10% for the 12 months following the creation of AGI? entschieden?

Will global GDP growth exceed 10% for the 12 months following the creation of AGI? soll am 31. Dezember 2029 entschieden werden.

Wie wird Will global GDP growth exceed 10% for the 12 months following the creation of AGI? abgerechnet?

Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: AGI will be considered achieved when this clock reaches zero: https://manifold.markets/ai (see this market: https://manifold.markets/ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708)

Diesen Markt im Code oder in einem KI-Agenten nutzen

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KALSHI

Core CPI YoY in November

• Above 2.2%+1.0pt98.5%
• Above 2.0%98.5%
• Above 2.3%+2.0pt98.5%

+13 weitere Ergebnisse

Gesamtvolumen

245.638,2 €

24h-Volumen

48.043,1 €

KALSHI

CPI in October

• Above -0.1%+1.0pt98.5%
• Above 0.0%+1.0pt97.5%
• Above 0.1%+7.0pt

KALSHI

Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026

• Above 545,000 jobs+1.0pt96.5%
• Above 550,000 jobs94.5%
• Above 555,000 jobs+5.0pt

KALSHI

Core CPI in October

• Above 0.0%94.5%
• Above 0.1%-6.0pt75.5%
• Above 0.2%+2.0pt53%

KALSHI

Recession in 2027?

• No79.5%
• Yes-1.0pt20.5%

Gesamtvolumen

647.138,3 €

24h-Volumen

8112 €

POLYMARKET

US recession by end of 2026?

• No+0.5pt93.1%
• Yes-0.5pt6.9%

Gesamtvolumen

2,1 Mio. €

24h-Volumen

8090,5 €

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