KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Above 25.1% · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Gespeicherter Preis
Above 25.1% 98.5%Führend unter 11 Optionen
Above 25.1% 98.5%Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Open Interest
11.201 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
Above 25.1%Spread
—
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 21 Minuten
27. Juli 26, 14:00 UTC1. Juli 27, 03:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Above 25.1%
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill global GDP growth rate (real) exceed 21% by the end of the 21st century?
Manifold MarketsWill Artificial Intelligence drive at least 3.5% of Global GDP in 2030?
Manifold MarketsHow will global GDP be distributed among the countries in 2050? [add responses]
Manifold MarketsCPI YoY in November
Kalshi2026: Trump's dream year?
KalshiRegeln
If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:World Bank
- The Underlying is the United States’ percentage share of World gross domestic product in current U.S. dollars for 2026, calculated using the World Bank’s World Development Indicators. The Expiration Value will be calculated as: 100 × United States GDP ÷ World GDP “United States GDP” and “World GDP” refer to the values attributed to 2026 for the World Bank indicator “GDP (current US$),” series code NY.GDP.MKTP.CD, for the economies United States and World, respectively. Both inputs must be taken from the first World Development Indicators database release in which values attributed to 2026 are available for both the United States and World.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Above 25.1%
- If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 25.2%
- If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 25.3%
- If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 25.4%
- If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 25.5%
- If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 25.6%
- If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 25.8%
- If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 25.7%
- If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 26.0%
- If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 26.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 25.9%
- If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 26.1%
- If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 26.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.