KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above 25.1% 98%Führend unter 11 Optionen
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
8603 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
27. Juli 26, 14:00 UTC1. Juli 27, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill global GDP growth rate (real) exceed 21% by the end of the 21st century?
Manifold MarketsWill Artificial Intelligence drive at least 3.5% of Global GDP in 2030?
Manifold MarketsUSD share of global FX reserves in Q2 2026
KalshiInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
KalshiCPI in September
KalshiRegeln
If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:World Bank
- The Underlying is the United States’ percentage share of World gross domestic product in current U.S. dollars for 2026, calculated using the World Bank’s World Development Indicators.
- The Expiration Value will be calculated as: 100 × United States GDP ÷ World GDP
- “United States GDP” and “World GDP” refer to the values attributed to 2026 for the World Bank indicator “GDP (current US$),” series code NY.GDP.MKTP.CD, for the economies United States and World, respectively.
- Both inputs must be taken from the first World Development Indicators database release in which values attributed to 2026 are available for both the United States and World.
- If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
EconomyKALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.3%+5.0pt98%
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.2%98%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 247.651,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 79.401,2 €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No96%
- Yes-4.0pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 3,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 18.601,7 €
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above 0.0%+1.0pt99%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 131.317,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETUS recession by end of 2026?
- No+2.0pt89.1%
- Yes-2.0pt10.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 13.129,7 €
KALSHIUnemployment in September
- Above 3.8%+5.0pt98%
- Above 3.7%97%
- Above 3.9%+4.0pt93%
+11 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 54.060,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No72%
- Yes+4.0pt28%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 379.091,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 9252,3 €
- CPI core in October
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- CPI in October
- Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
- CPI core in September
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- How high will unemployment get in 2026?
- US Nominal GDP in 2026
- China unemployment rate in September
- September 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP
- CPI in November
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für US share of global GDP in 2026?
- Kalshi bewertet Above 25.1% mit 98% (Stand: 17. September 2026).
- Wann wird US share of global GDP in 2026 entschieden?
- US share of global GDP in 2026 soll am 1. Juli 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird US share of global GDP in 2026 abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.