Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 83.7%
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5
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet25. Nov. 24, 16:50 UTC31. Dez. 30, 21:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the first sign of extraterrestrial intelligence be identified as an artificial intelligence by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill artificial intelligence be part of a solution of the second Millennium Problem solved from now?
Manifold MarketsUN agency for artificial intelligence created in 2026?
FutuurUS share of global GDP in 2026
KalshiFed Decision in September?
PolymarketRegeln
https://www.idc.com/getdoc.jsp?containerId=prUS52600524
- ... predicts that business spending to adopt artificial intelligence (AI), to use AI in existing business operations, and to deliver better products/services to business and consumer customers will have a cumulative global economic impact of $19.9 trillion through 2030 and drive 3.5% of global GDP in 2030
Offene Märkte
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 90,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 358.610,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 35.773 €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 548.346,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 29.818,9 €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP-2.0pt58%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10.724 €
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 17.694,1 €
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-2.0pt22%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 310.341,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6532,2 €
- Recession this year?
- CPI in September
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Artificial Intelligence drive at least 3.5% of Global GDP in 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 84% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Artificial Intelligence drive at least 3.5% of Global GDP in 2030? entschieden?
- Will Artificial Intelligence drive at least 3.5% of Global GDP in 2030? soll am 31. Dezember 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Artificial Intelligence drive at least 3.5% of Global GDP in 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: https://www.idc.com/getdoc.jsp?containerId=prUS52600524