Will Dan Ariely be employed as a tenured professor at Duke University at the end of 2026?
Crime & JusticeOne-OffSociety & Culture3MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 69.1%
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Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet21. Feb. 26, 16:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 23:59 UTC
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ForecastExRegeln
Resolves YES if, as of 11:59pm EST on Dec 31, 2026, Ariely is still listed by Duke University as a tenured professor (or equivalent continuing faculty position).
- Resolves NO if, before that date:
- Duke announces termination,
- Ariely resigns,
- Ariely retires,
- His tenure is revoked,
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Dan Ariely be employed as a tenured professor at Duke University at the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 69% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Dan Ariely be employed as a tenured professor at Duke University at the end of 2026? entschieden?
- Will Dan Ariely be employed as a tenured professor at Duke University at the end of 2026? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Dan Ariely be employed as a tenured professor at Duke University at the end of 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if, as of 11:59pm EST on Dec 31, 2026, Ariely is still listed by Duke University as a tenured professor (or equivalent continuing faculty position).