Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?
5.0 Pkt. (24h)PolitikOne-OffWahlLateinamerikaKriminalität & Justiz5Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 83.2%+5.0pt
Ja 83.2%+5.0ptMarktqualitat
59 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
273,6 €
Liquidität
10.684,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
81.0% / 86.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Minuten
6. Okt. 26, 16:09 UTC1. Apr. 27, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How much time will Jair Bolsonaro spend in jail (not house arrest) by Dec 31, 2031?
Manifold MarketsArrest of any of Jair Bolsonaro's sons in 2026?
FutuurWill Jair Bolsonaro ever be a candidate again for any Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsJair Bolsonaro dies before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Jair Bolsonaro receive his passport back?
Manifold MarketsPedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jair Messias Bolsonaro receives a pardon (indulto or graça), commutation, or reprieve granted by the President of Brazil between market creation and March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying grant of clemency means an act signed by the President of Brazil, or by whoever is lawfully exercising the office, that pardons, commutes, reduces, or suspends the execution of a sentence that had already been imposed on Jair Bolsonaro in a Brazilian criminal proceeding at the time the act was signed, and that has been published in the Diário Oficial da União between market creation and the deadline.
- Both signature and publication must occur within this period.
- A reprieve means a temporary suspension of the execution of an imposed sentence through presidential clemency.
- Full or partial relief from a custodial sentence or criminal fine will qualify; actual release from custody is not required.
