Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 98%
Prognostiker
49
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert17. Nov. 25, 03:49 UTC2. Jan. 27, 03:47 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Did Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton?
Manifold MarketsIs Trump gay?
Manifold MarketsDid Donald Trump have Jeffrey Epstein killed?
Manifold MarketsDid Donald Trump have sex with a minor (underage)? (Sworn court testimony or similar, by 2028-01-01.)
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens 2026
Manifold MarketsSupreme Court sides with Suncor and Exxon in Boulder climate case?
PolymarketRegeln
If it is reasonably proven by January 1, 2027, that Donald Trump had gay sex of any kind, this resolves to yes.
- This is by my discresion, but I will try to resolve it as accurately as possible.
- For purposes of this market, oral sex counts as sex.
