Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 99.3%
Prognostiker
553
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
14. Nov. 25, 21:56 UTC1. Jan. 27, 21:54 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Hillary and Bill Clinton divorce announcement before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsDid Donald Trump have gay sex?
Manifold MarketsDid Donald Trump have sex with a minor (underage)? (Sworn court testimony or similar, by 2028-01-01.)
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump issue a public apology?
KalshiWho will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
KalshiWill Donald Trump attend UFC 332?
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve as YES if it is confirmed by January 1st 2027 that Donald Trump and Bill Clinton had sex
- For the purposes of this market, oral sex counts as sexual intercourse
Offene Märkte
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 693.010,4 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 54,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 266.941,4 €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 248.725,9 €
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Did Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 99% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Did Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton? entschieden?
- Did Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Did Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve as YES if it is confirmed by January 1st 2027 that Donald Trump and Bill Clinton had sex