Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?
GeopolitikMonthlyTechnikChina3MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 61.6%
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Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet26. Dez. 25, 17:09 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if, at any time between market launch and December 31, 2026, the Ministry of Commerce of the People's Republic of China (MOFCOM) or another Chinese central government authority with export-control jurisdiction formally announces or enforces a policy that materially restricts gallium exports to the United States beyond the pre-2024 baseline.
- A material restriction includes any of the following:
- Reinstatement of the December 2024-level export ban on gallium to the United States;
- A new or revised regulation, directive, or enforcement action that results in categorical or widespread denial of export licenses for US-bound gallium;
- The imposition of export conditions that, in practice, function as a ban on gallium exports to the United States.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 62% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov? entschieden?
- Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution Criteria