Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 99%
Prognostiker
10
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet24. Sept. 24, 20:38 UTC2. Okt. 26, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Caroline Ellison resume posting on Tumblr when she is released from prison?
Manifold MarketsWill Caroline Ellison be arrested before 2028?
Manifold MarketsCaroline Ellison next job
Manifold MarketsWill South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?
KalshiTrump to serve his full term?
FutuurZhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
Any sort of prison facility counts, including detention centers and psychiatric facilities.
- House arrest, electronic confinement at a private home, would not.
- Let me know if you want me to outline edge cases before you trade.
- I might trade in this market, will probably be low-stakes.
Offene Märkte
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 347.549,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 27.385,2 €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 497.379,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 12.478 €
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 675.987,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 8196,4 €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4566,5 €
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 577.193,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 3664,6 €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Caroline Ellison serve the full 24 months in prison??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 99% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Caroline Ellison serve the full 24 months in prison? entschieden?
- Will Caroline Ellison serve the full 24 months in prison? soll am 2. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Caroline Ellison serve the full 24 months in prison? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Any sort of prison facility counts, including detention centers and psychiatric facilities.