Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 89.6%
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet27. Dez. 25, 17:11 UTC31. Dez. 27, 17:10 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Caroline Ellison resume posting on Tumblr when she is released from prison?
Manifold MarketsCaroline Ellison next job
Manifold MarketsWill Caroline Ellison serve the full 24 months in prison?
Manifold MarketsWho will be arrested in 2026?
KalshiSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by which date?
PolymarketKanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?
PolymarketRegeln
Auflösungskriterien sind für diesen Markt noch nicht verfügbar. Dieser Abschnitt wird nach den nächsten Aktualisierungen gefüllt, sobald die Quellregeln gespeichert sind.
Offene Märkte
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 347.549,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 27.385,2 €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 497.379,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 12.478 €
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 675.987,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 8196,4 €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4566,5 €
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 577.193,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 3664,6 €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Caroline Ellison be arrested before 2028??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 90% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Caroline Ellison be arrested before 2028? entschieden?
- Will Caroline Ellison be arrested before 2028? soll am 31. Dezember 2027 entschieden werden.