Will BRICS have a new member join or current member leave first?
Middle EastOne-OffRussia / UkraineChina2JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognosenew member joins 83.9%
Prognostiker
5
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet11. Jan. 26, 20:57 UTC11. Dez. 28, 21:22 UTC
Trends
Regeln
resolves the named outcome first if a member of BRICS is no longer a member for any reason, before a the named outcome. resolves the named outcome if BRICS has a new member before a the named outcome.
- this is for full members. members as of market creation:
- Brasil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Egypt, United Arab Emirates, Ethiopia, Indonesia, and Iran
- resolves according to wikipedia and major media consensus. saudi arabia is not currently considered a member
Offene Märkte
Middle East
POLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 25,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 694.974,4 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 107.602,4 €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 104.509,2 €
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will BRICS have a new member join or current member leave first??
- Manifold Markets bewertet new member joins mit 84% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will BRICS have a new member join or current member leave first? entschieden?
- Will BRICS have a new member join or current member leave first? soll am 11. Dezember 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will BRICS have a new member join or current member leave first? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: resolves the named outcome first if a member of BRICS is no longer a member for any reason, before a the named outcome. resolves the named outcome if BRICS has a new member before a the named outcome.