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Daten vom 25.07.2026, 09:40 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-2
Aktuelle Community-Prognose2024-Q3 0%Führend unter 10 Optionen
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Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
2026-Q458%
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$1010. Juli11T Daten25. Juli
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On which days will Andy Burnham be UK Prime Minister
140,6 €1 July 2026: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
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111,7 €No HR in 2026: 57%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Next government of the United Kingdom?
0 €Reform UK majority: 6%
KALSHI
KALSHI
NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
0 €35-39: 31%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETStarmer vs Burnham decision market - will Labour win a majority in the next general election?
0 €**Assuming Starmer is Labour leader**, Labour wins a majority: 6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
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Will Linda Sanchez win the California 41st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
0 €Ja: 86%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXIn diesen Themen aktiv
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Cabinet members as per https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers
- Resolves YES if any member of cabinet resigns, is fired, dies, or otherwise ceases to hold a position in cabinet in a listed calendar quarter (Jan-Mar, Apr-Jun, Jul-Sep, Oct-Dec).
- Being promoted to another cabinet position does not count as leaving.
- Losing one cabinet role when multiple are held (and thus remaining in cabinet) does not count as leaving.
- All cabinet members being replaced simultaneously e.g. at a general election will resolve YES.
- The only cabinet positions that will cause this to resolve are those listed under the "Cabinet Ministers" section of the webpage above.