Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Q2 (Apr 1st - Jul 1st) 100%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
9
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+10.7 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet21. Dez. 25, 22:28 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will any UK cabinet member leave cabinet this quarter?
Manifold MarketsBurnham recieves a cabinet minister resignation in 2026
Manifold MarketsHow many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
PolymarketHow many Prime ministers will the UK have before 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow many UK prime ministers will serve under King Charles III 👑 🇬🇧
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketRegeln
Options resolve Yes if any UK cabinet minister resigns in the corresponding timeframe.
- Multiple options can resolve Yes if ministers resign in more than one timeframe.
- Any option covers the (plausible) event that none resign in 2026.
- If government dissolves this will be treated as a resignation.
- Full list of cabinet ministers available here:
- https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers
