KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Jan 20, 2029 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Before Jan 20, 2029 81%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Before Jan 20, 2029 81%Marktqualitat
51 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1143,8 €
Open Interest
44.489,9 $
Hohes Open InterestGeld / Brief
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Before Jan 20, 2029Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 40 Minuten
8. Okt. 26, 19:50 UTC1. Juli 27, 14:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Jan 20, 2029
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Any Senate-confirmed Cabinet member impeached this Presidential term?
Manifold MarketsWill any UK cabinet member leave cabinet this quarter?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Cabinet member to leave office?
PredictItIf Democrats win the House in 2026, will the House impeach a Cabinet member before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsIf Republicans keep the House in 2026, will the House impeach a Cabinet member before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon a Cabinet member?
KalshiRegeln
If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:U.S. House of Representatives
- The cabinet is defined as the following: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, and White House Chief of Staff.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Jan 20, 2029
- If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
