Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 65.8%
Prognostiker
3
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet17. Apr. 25, 22:23 UTC31. Mai 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will any ex-Hololive member join Phase Connect before June 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill BRICS invite a new member to join them before 2027?
KalshiWill BRICS have a new member join or current member leave first?
Manifold MarketsThe Phase: First Week Album Equivalent Units
KalshiThe Phase: First Week Streams
KalshiWill any Phase Five or Six Marvel movie have a budget under $150 million?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will be resolved as YES if any vtuber who has previously been a member of Nijisanji will debut as a member of Phase Connect before June 2027.
- Resolves as NO otherwise.
- If Phase Connect ceases all of its activities and dissolves before that date, this market will be resolved as N/A. Similar market for Hololive: https://manifold.markets/LavrovAndrey/will-any-exhololive-member-join-pha?r=TGF2cm92QW5kcmV5
Offene Märkte
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 319.774,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 98.048,5 €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 79.986 €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 130.628,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 45.327 €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4 Mio. €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will any ex-Nijisanji member join Phase Connect before June 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 66% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will any ex-Nijisanji member join Phase Connect before June 2027? entschieden?
- Will any ex-Nijisanji member join Phase Connect before June 2027? soll am 31. Mai 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will any ex-Nijisanji member join Phase Connect before June 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will be resolved as YES if any vtuber who has previously been a member of Nijisanji will debut as a member of Phase Connect before June 2027.