Will August 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?
InflationOne-OffWirtschaft
Manifold MarketsGeschlossenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Yes (4.8%)
Entschieden: 12.10.2026, 14:17
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
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Daten vom 19.09.2026, 12:45 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Employment Situation release for August 2026 reports that total nonfarm payroll employment increased by at least 150,000 jobs.
- Use the headline establishment-survey change in total nonfarm payroll employment, seasonally adjusted.
- A value of +150,000 or higher resolves YES.
- A value of +149,000 or lower resolves NO.
- Negative values resolve NO.
- Do not use the unemployment rate, household-survey employment, labor-force participation, ADP, initial claims, JOLTS, private-payrolls-only, sector payrolls, state payrolls, forecast consensus, or later revisions unless BLS corrects the initial August 2026 release before resolution.