Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 77%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 26 Minuten
22. März 24, 21:34 UTC1. Jan. 34, 22:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will US inflation be 3% or more in 2026?
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ForecastExRegeln
According to the Federal Reserve of Cleveland the expected 10-year inflation on 12 March 2024 is 2.21% per year.
- The market resolves "yes" if the US Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average (CPIAUCSL) reported by FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data) increases more than 2.21% per year between 1 Jan 2024 and 1 Jan 2034, from 300.35 to more than 373.74 points.
Offene Märkte
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase54.9%
- No change43.1%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 127.637 €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)99%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.2pt1%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt0%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Hike 25bps-4.0pt50%
- Fed maintains rate43.7%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.7%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 40.800,4 €
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate43.3%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIFed decision in Dec 2026?
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt64.1%
- Fed maintains rate30.1%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt2.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 392.629,1 €
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 61.630,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 21.841,4 €
- Fed Decision in December?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jan 2027)
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the average US inflation between 2024–2034 be more than 2.21%??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 77% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the average US inflation between 2024–2034 be more than 2.21%? entschieden?
- Will the average US inflation between 2024–2034 be more than 2.21%? soll am 1. Januar 2034 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the average US inflation between 2024–2034 be more than 2.21%? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: According to the Federal Reserve of Cleveland the expected 10-year inflation on 12 March 2024 is 2.21% per year.