Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 88.3%
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149
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet13. Dez. 25, 15:14 UTC12. Jan. 27, 23:59 UTC
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Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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PolymarketOctober Inflation US - Annual
PolymarketRegeln
This market resolves YES if the annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rate for the United States is 3% or higher for the calendar year 2026 (Dec 2026 price level compared to Dec 2025).
- The resolution will be based on the 12-month headline CPI inflation rate published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) at https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm.
- Goes by the headline figure, typically rounded to 1 decimal.
- I will use most suitable replacement if BLS stops publishing this statistic or if it is widely treated as unreliable measure of inflation.
- I will bet in this market.
- If we hit ambiguity around reliability will agree with a group of representative YES and NO holders.
