Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 80.3%
Prognostiker
144
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet13. Dez. 25, 15:14 UTC12. Jan. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Double digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?
Manifold MarketsWill the average US inflation between 2024–2034 be more than 2.21%?
Manifold MarketsWill AI technology lead to higher or lower US inflation rates by end of June 2027
Manifold MarketsAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
PolymarketCPI in September
KalshiInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
KalshiRegeln
This market resolves YES if the annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rate for the United States is 3% or higher for the calendar year 2026 (Dec 2026 price level compared to Dec 2025).
- The resolution will be based on the 12-month headline CPI inflation rate published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) at https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm.
- Goes by the headline figure, typically rounded to 1 decimal.
- I will use most suitable replacement if BLS stops publishing this statistic or if it is widely treated as unreliable measure of inflation.
- I will bet in this market.
- If we hit ambiguity around reliability will agree with a group of representative YES and NO holders.
Offene Märkte
InflationPOLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 61.545,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 21.768,3 €
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.4%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+11 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 187.657,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 7065 €
POLYMARKETSeptember Inflation US - Annual
- 3.6%-1.0pt39.6%
- 3.7%+0.5pt25.2%
- 3.5%+2.5pt19.8%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHICore inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Above 2.1%99%
- Above 2.2%98%
- Above 2.3%+2.0pt86%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 40.186 €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)+3.0pt60.2%
- 3 (75 bps)-1.4pt23.3%
- 1 (25 bps)-1.0pt15.5%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- September Inflation China - Annual
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- CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026
- CPI core in September
- September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- NYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - September
- CPI core in November 2026
- Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- CPI in October
- September Inflation US - Monthly
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will US inflation be 3% or more in 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 80% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will US inflation be 3% or more in 2026? entschieden?
- Will US inflation be 3% or more in 2026? soll am 12. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will US inflation be 3% or more in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market resolves YES if the annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rate for the United States is 3% or higher for the calendar year 2026 (Dec 2026 price level compared to Dec 2025).