Will AI technology lead to higher or lower US inflation rates by end of June 2027
FedInflationCommoditiesKI9MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseModerately higher inflation (2.1%-3.0%) 45%Führend unter 5 Optionen
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Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet9. Feb. 26, 17:31 UTC30. Juni 27, 23:59 UTC
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Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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KalshiRegeln
AI investment is currently the primary driver of market dynamics.
- The key tension is that massive capital allocations to AI infrastructure (data centers, chips, energy) could either beinflationary (if capex drives energy/commodity demand up aggressively before productivity gains are realised) or disinflationary (if productivity gains materialize quickly, leading to lower costs and enabling growth without wage pressure).
- Resolution Criteria: This market resolves based on the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) year-over-year reading as of June 2027 vs. the Fed target inflation rate of 2% and that AI technology is mentioned explicitly in Fed communication as a driver of the deviation from target.
Offene Märkte
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase54.9%
- No change43.1%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 127.637 €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)99%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.2pt1%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt0%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Hike 25bps-4.0pt50%
- Fed maintains rate43.7%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.7%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 40.800,4 €
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate43.3%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIFed decision in Dec 2026?
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt64.1%
- Fed maintains rate30.1%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt2.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 392.629,1 €
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 61.630,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 21.841,4 €
- Fed Decision in December?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
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- Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jan 2027)
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will AI technology lead to higher or lower US inflation rates by end of June 2027?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Moderately higher inflation (2.1%-3.0%) mit 45% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will AI technology lead to higher or lower US inflation rates by end of June 2027 entschieden?
- Will AI technology lead to higher or lower US inflation rates by end of June 2027 soll am 30. Juni 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will AI technology lead to higher or lower US inflation rates by end of June 2027 abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: AI investment is currently the primary driver of market dynamics.