Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 80.1%
Prognostiker
11
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binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet28. Aug. 26, 13:35 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Armenia join the EU by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the United Kingdom join the EU?
KalshiWill Maine join the EU before 2060?
Manifold MarketsHow many of the negotiating chapters required to join the EU will Montenegro have closed at the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Armenia withdraw from the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsBreach in the ceasefire deal between Armenia and Azerbaijan in 2026?
FutuurRegeln
https://www.euronews.com/2026/08/25/armenia-announces-historic-intention-to-apply-for-eu-membership
- [link preview]
Offene Märkte
Geopolitics
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 581.272,5 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 55,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 96.847,5 €
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Armenia join the EU by the end of 2029??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 80% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Armenia join the EU by the end of 2029? entschieden?
- Will Armenia join the EU by the end of 2029? soll am 31. Dezember 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Armenia join the EU by the end of 2029? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: https://www.euronews.com/2026/08/25/armenia-announces-historic-intention-to-apply-for-eu-membership