FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 84%
Nein 84%Marktqualitat
33 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
1007,4 €
Niedrige LiquiditätTrader
6
Kommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Armenia and Azerbaijan sign peace treaty by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Armenia and Azerbaijan have a full-scale war?
Manifold MarketsWill part of the agreed ceasefire deal between Russia and Ukraine involve a minimum 10 year block on joining NATO or EU?
Manifold MarketsWill part of the agreed ceasefire deal between Russia and Ukraine involve a minimum 20 year block on joining NATO or EU?
Manifold MarketsRussia-Ukraine ceasefire or peace deal to be reached by the end of 2026?
FutuurNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This event predicts whether there will be a breach of the ceasefire agreement between Armenia and Azerbaijan at any time during 2026.
- For this market, a breach means kinetic military action involving the firing of weapons across the ceasefire line.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official statements by the governments of Armenia or Azerbaijan, or reports by internationally recognized monitoring bodies.
- If kinetic military action violating the ceasefire occurs during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Cyber operations, rhetoric, or non-kinetic incidents will not count.
