KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before 2040 11%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
35 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
394,4 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
18. Juni 26, 16:06 UTC31. Dez. 31, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which of these franchises will be present at the Universal Studios park Universal United Kingdom at opening?
Manifold MarketsUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
KalshiWill Ye visit The United Kingdom this year?
KalshiWill the United Kingdom become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNext government of the United Kingdom?
KalshiRegeln
If the United Kingdom has joined the EU by Jan 1, 2032, or the date that the country will officially join per its accession treaty is Jan 1, 2032, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:EU
- If the United Kingdom has joined the EU by Jan 1, 2035, or the date that the country will officially join per its accession treaty is Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United Kingdom has joined the EU by Jan 1, 2040, or the date that the country will officially join per its accession treaty is Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
Geopolitics
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 470.753,1 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 35,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 100.050,2 €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the United Kingdom join the EU??
- Kalshi bewertet Before 2040 mit 11% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the United Kingdom join the EU? entschieden?
- Will the United Kingdom join the EU? soll am 31. Dezember 2031 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the United Kingdom join the EU? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the United Kingdom has joined the EU by Jan 1, 2032, or the date that the country will officially join per its accession treaty is Jan 1, 2032, then the market resolves to Yes.