Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 68.1%
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 22 Stunden
Veraltet27. Juni 26, 06:47 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
PolymarketHow many times will the Trump admin and/or NVIDIA flip-flop on giving NVIDIA chips to China before 2028? (fun)
Manifold MarketsWill it be revealed strategic AI chips Trump has allowed the UAE to buy have strategically benefited China's AI program?
Manifold MarketsWill Huawei ship at least one million 910C chips in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if, before January 1, 2028, Apple officially announces, or credible financial/tech news organizations report, that Apple has contracted for, purchased, or begun commercially sourcing memory chips from a supplier headquartered in mainland China for use in commercially distributed Apple products.
- “Sourcing” means procuring chips intended for commercial mass production.
- Chips used solely for engineering validation, design validation, internal testing, prototypes, or other non-public products do not count.
- Memory chips include DRAM, NAND flash, HBM, or other semiconductor memory.
- Eligible suppliers include, but are not limited to, ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) and Yangtze Memory Technologies Corporation (YMTC).
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-6.0pt74%
- September 18-6.0pt69%
- September 11-10.0pt61%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 363.008,4 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)+0.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt3%
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+3.0pt79.2%
- Yes-3.0pt20.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 245.496,1 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.1pt49.6%
- October 31-1.0pt29.1%
- September 30-1.0pt12%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 301%
- July 310%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 62,8 Mio. €
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Apple source memory chips from a Chinese supplier before 2028??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 68% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Apple source memory chips from a Chinese supplier before 2028? entschieden?
- Will Apple source memory chips from a Chinese supplier before 2028? soll am 31. Dezember 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Apple source memory chips from a Chinese supplier before 2028? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria