Will an ICE Agent engage in an "Unjustified" shooting at a U.S. airport before the 2026 DHS Shutdown ends?
WirtschaftOne-OffUS Politics21TManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 98.8%
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Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet24. März 26, 21:35 UTC30. Sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market resolves to YES if an ICE officer discharges a firearm at a person within a U.S. commercial airport and the act fails the "Justified" criteria based on the best available evidence.
- If no shooting occurs by the end of the current government shutdown over DHS funding, or if the shooting is objectively justified, this market resolves to NO.
- "Justified" Criteria (Resolves NO)
- A shooting is JUSTIFIED if any of the following physical facts are confirmed by video, forensics, official reports, or widely corroborated mainstream reports:
- Brandishing: The subject was brandished a firearm (or realistic replica), explosive, or bladed weapon.
- Detected Weapon + Threat: A weapon was known to be present (e.g., via scanner/search) AND the subject was aggressively non-compliant or making a move to retrieve it.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will an ICE Agent engage in an "Unjustified" shooting at a U.S. airport before the 2026 DHS Shutdown ends??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 99% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will an ICE Agent engage in an "Unjustified" shooting at a U.S. airport before the 2026 DHS Shutdown ends? entschieden?
- Will an ICE Agent engage in an "Unjustified" shooting at a U.S. airport before the 2026 DHS Shutdown ends? soll am 30. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will an ICE Agent engage in an "Unjustified" shooting at a U.S. airport before the 2026 DHS Shutdown ends? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market resolves to YES if an ICE officer discharges a firearm at a person within a U.S. commercial airport and the act fails the "Justified" criteria based on the best available evidence.