Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the US, before 2027?
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Veraltet5. Apr. 25, 11:57 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria:
- A "YES" outcome requires that a credible source (e.g. a government agency such as the USDA-APHIS) confirms that a free-ranging wild animal in the contiguous United States has been infected by the New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax), before January 1st 2027 at 00:00 GMT.
- Infections in humans do not count.
- Similarly, infections in pets, livestock, or otherwise captive or confined animals do not count.
- However, infections in feral animals (such as feral cats) will count.
- An example of what would qualify as a "YES" if it happened again, is the outbreak among deer in the Florida Keys in 2016.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the US, before 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 79% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the US, before 2027? entschieden?
- Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the US, before 2027? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the US, before 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria: