Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 72.3%
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2,243
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
1. Sept. 22, 03:51 UTC1. Jan. 40, 08:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will Isaac King's "Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?" market resolve?
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PolymarketConservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?
PolymarketWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiRegeln
This market resolves once we have a definitive answer to this question.
- (i.e. "I've looked at all notable evidence presented by both sides and have upwards of 98% confidence that a certain conclusion is correct, and it doesn't seem likely that any further relevant evidence will be forthcoming any time soon.")
- This will likely not occur until many years after Covid is no longer a subject of active political contention, motivations for various actors to distort or hide inconvenient evidence have died down, and a scientific consensus has emerged on the subject.
- For exactly when it will resolve, see @/IsaacKing/when-will-the-covid-lab-leak-market
- I will be conferring with the community extensively before resolving this market, to ensure I haven't missed anything and aren't being overconfident in one direction or another.
- As some additional assurance, see @/IsaacKing/will-my-resolution-of-the-covid19-l
Offene Märkte
SportsKALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Alexander Zverev+17.0pt44%
- Ben Shelton+28.0pt37%
- Frances Tiafoe+5.0pt9%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 26,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,8 Mio. €
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Bayern Munich+1.0pt15.1%
- Arsenal13.2%
+33 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Los Angeles R14.2%
- Buffalo6.7%
- Seattle6.7%
+29 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 74,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
KALSHINew England vs Seattle
- Seattle-1.0pt61.4%
- New England+2.0pt38.6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
POLYMARKETLoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
- Game 4 Winner100%
- O/U 4.5 Games100%
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
+37 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
KALSHIMVP Winner?
- Joe Burrow11%
- Josh Allen11%
- Lamar Jackson10%
+42 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,3 Mio. €
- Amgen Irish Open Winner
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs GamerLegion (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
- Barcelona vs Feyenoord
- Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
- FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam
- Heisman Trophy Winner
- Kulambayeva vs Yaneva
- Napoli vs Arsenal
- New England vs Seattle: Spread
- Pro Baseball Champion
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Stammt COVID-19 aus einem Labor??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 72% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Stammt COVID-19 aus einem Labor? entschieden?
- Stammt COVID-19 aus einem Labor? soll am 1. Januar 2040 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Stammt COVID-19 aus einem Labor? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market resolves once we have a definitive answer to this question.