Will a Ukrainian citizen be deported from the EU for the purpose of forcing them into military conscription?
GeopolitikOne-OffRussland / UkraineEuropa
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 73.6%
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39
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Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert27. Apr. 24, 22:10 UTC1. Jan. 00, 22:59 UTC
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Poland and Lithuania's Defence Ministers have "said they are prepared to help Ukrainian authorities return men subject to military conscription to the country", according to the Guardian.
- Source: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/apr/25/poland-and-lithuania-pledge-to-help-kyiv-repatriate-ukrainians-subject-to-military-draft
- The purpose of this market is to predict whether something like that will happen.
- Resolution criteria
- Resolves 'Yes' if a Ukrainian citizen is deported from the EU for the purpose of forcing them into military conscription (or a similar scheme such as 'alternative civilian service') in Ukraine before the end of the war.
- Only a deportation (or similar act) conducted by an institution of an EU member state, an institution of the EU, or someone acting with the explicit approval of such an institution counts for the purpose of resolving this market.
