Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseTony Blair (former UK Prime Minister) 100%Führend unter 27 Optionen
Prognostiker
38
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Stunden
Veraltet20. Jan. 26, 04:29 UTC31. Dez. 26, 04:11 UTC
Trends
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Israel agree to the Board of Peace Gaza plan in 2026?
Manifold MarketsMembers of the legislature (congress, parliament) in a country come to blows this year? mega-market
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will join NATO as members in 2026?
FutuurWill any of the UN’s Security Council permanent members leave the Non-Proliferation Treaty by the end of 2026?
FutuurNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Described by Trump as the “the Greatest and Most Prestigious Board ever assembled,”
- Resolution Criteria
- The Board of Peace has a multi-level structure with a main Board set to be composed mainly of country leaders, with about 60 countries invited as per January 20, 2026.
- Answers resolves continuously based on official communications regarding individuals that start actively holding formal seats on the main Board of Peace (not to be confused with the Gaza executive board)..
- Supporting roles below the top level, like those held by the Aryeh Lightstone and Josh Gruenbaum, do not count for this market.
- Possible resolution sources:
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 581.272,5 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 55,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 96.847,5 €
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Members of the Board of Peace??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Tony Blair (former UK Prime Minister) mit 100% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Members of the Board of Peace? entschieden?
- Members of the Board of Peace? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Members of the Board of Peace? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Described by Trump as the “the Greatest and Most Prestigious Board ever assembled,”