Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Labour 43%+1.1ptFührend unter 6 Optionen
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55
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
5. Mai 25, 0:182. Jan. 29, 7:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Labour43%
Plattformen vergleichen· Labour
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBeste insgesamt85% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Mittel | 37% | — | 95,8 € | 86.866,9 € | vor 16 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| Manifold MarketsDiese Seite | — | 43% | — | — | — | vor 16 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Which party will win the next UK general election?
1.3 pts3J
37%
31%
20%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
53 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen211.976 €
24h-Volumen95,8 €
KALSHIRegeln
Resolves at the party that the first prime minister elected after the next general election is from.
- Update 2026-03-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a hung parliament results in no government being formed and a snap election is called without any government (including a minority government) forming in the meantime, the market will resolve based on the PM after that subsequent election.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$508. Juli14T Daten28. Juli
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Resolves at the party that the first prime minister elected after the next general election is from.
- Update 2026-03-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a hung parliament results in no government being formed and a snap election is called without any government (including a minority government) forming in the meantime, the market will resolve based on the PM after that subsequent election.