Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Labour 41.3%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
56
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
-0.4 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
5. Mai 25, 00:18 UTC2. Jan. 29, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What party will the Prime Minister of the UK be from at the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?
KalshiWhich party will the Prime Minister of the UK be from on January 1st 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhat party will the Prime Minister of the UK be from at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsParty of Next Prime Minister of Romania?
PolymarketWho will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves at the party that the first prime minister elected after the next general election is from.
- Update 2026-03-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a hung parliament results in no government being formed and a snap election is called without any government (including a minority government) forming in the meantime, the market will resolve based on the PM after that subsequent election.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mrd. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-33.7pt51%
- Delcy Rodríguez+29.5pt42%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 29,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 621.591,2 €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 19,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 488.821,4 €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-1.3pt10%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Labour mit 41% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from? entschieden?
- Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from? soll am 2. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves at the party that the first prime minister elected after the next general election is from.
- Wo wird Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Kalshi, Gemini gelistet.