KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
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Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
1 51%Führend unter 6 Optionen
1 51%Marktqualitat
35 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Open Interest
346 $
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
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1Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Minuten
7. Juli 26, 18:45 UTC8. Jan. 29, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · 1
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from?
Manifold MarketsWhat party will the Prime Minister of the UK be from at the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Modi have a full term as Prime Minister?
Manifold MarketsHow many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?
KalshiWill Marco Rubio serve as Secretary of State until Jan 20th 2029?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
KalshiRegeln
If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Office of the Prime Minister of the UK
- "Served in the role" means that an individual has formally held the position in an official capacity, whether by appointment, election, succession, or acting designation, and performed the duties of that role for any length of time during the time period. If an individual serves multiple non-consecutive terms in the role, they will count once for each term (allowing an individual to be counted multiple times). If an individual holds the role temporarily in an "acting" or "interim" capacity for any amount of time, or is formally designated as such, they count as serving in the role. Dual officeholders count once per person even if holding multiple titles simultaneously. If an individual is appointed but never sworn in, or withdraws before assuming office, they do not count as serving. Vacancies do not count as individuals serving. Posthumous designations or honorary titles do not count.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- 1
- If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 2
- If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 2, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 3
- If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 3, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5
- If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is above 5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4
- If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 4, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5
- If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 5, then the market resolves to Yes.
