How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?

PolitikOne-OffWahl Europe2J

KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriert

Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit

5 2%

Führend unter 6 Optionen

Marktqualitat

36 / 100

Niedrige Qualität

24h-Volumen

877,2 €

Liquidität

878,1 €

Niedrige Liquidität

Geld / Brief

2.0% / 3.0%

Spread

50.0%

Breiter Spread

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

7. Juli 26, 18:458. Jan. 29, 15:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung

Gewähltes Ergebnis

52%

Einsatz (USDT)

Regeln

If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

"Served in the role" means that an individual has formally held the position in an official capacity, whether by appointment, election, succession, or acting designation, and performed the duties of that role for any length of time during the time period.
If an individual serves multiple non-consecutive terms in the role, they will count once for each term (allowing an individual to be counted multiple times).
If an individual holds the role temporarily in an "acting" or "interim" capacity for any amount of time, or is formally designated as such, they count as serving in the role.
Dual officeholders count once per person even if holding multiple titles simultaneously.
If an individual is appointed but never sworn in, or withdraws before assuming office, they do not count as serving.

Volumentrend

$1.0k

7. Juli2T Daten8. Juli

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Will a Clacton by-election happen in 2026?

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Ja: 96%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which party will win the Clacton by-election?

2747,1 €

Labour: 0.2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

"Served in the role" means that an individual has formally held the position in an official capacity, whether by appointment, election, succession, or acting designation, and performed the duties of that role for any length of time during the time period.
If an individual serves multiple non-consecutive terms in the role, they will count once for each term (allowing an individual to be counted multiple times).
If an individual holds the role temporarily in an "acting" or "interim" capacity for any amount of time, or is formally designated as such, they count as serving in the role.
Dual officeholders count once per person even if holding multiple titles simultaneously.
If an individual is appointed but never sworn in, or withdraws before assuming office, they do not count as serving.

How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?

PolitikOne-OffWahl Europe2J

KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriert

Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit

5 2%

Führend unter 6 Optionen

Marktqualitat

36 / 100

Niedrige Qualität

24h-Volumen

877,2 €

Liquidität

878,1 €

Niedrige Liquidität

Geld / Brief

2.0% / 3.0%

Spread

50.0%

Breiter Spread

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

7. Juli 26, 18:458. Jan. 29, 15:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung

Gewähltes Ergebnis

52%

Einsatz (USDT)

Regeln

If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

"Served in the role" means that an individual has formally held the position in an official capacity, whether by appointment, election, succession, or acting designation, and performed the duties of that role for any length of time during the time period.
If an individual serves multiple non-consecutive terms in the role, they will count once for each term (allowing an individual to be counted multiple times).
If an individual holds the role temporarily in an "acting" or "interim" capacity for any amount of time, or is formally designated as such, they count as serving in the role.
Dual officeholders count once per person even if holding multiple titles simultaneously.
If an individual is appointed but never sworn in, or withdraws before assuming office, they do not count as serving.

Volumentrend

$1.0k

7. Juli2T Daten8. Juli

Verwandte Märkte

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

42.158 €

AfD: 80%

POLYMARKET

Clacton By-Election - Winner

11.563,6 €

Conservative: 0.01%

SMARKETS

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner

11.213,2 €

AfD: 98%

POLYMARKET

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

10.582,7 €

Andy Burnham: 99%

POLYMARKET

Will a Clacton by-election happen in 2026?

3611,3 €

Ja: 96%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which party will win the Clacton by-election?

2747,1 €

Labour: 0.2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,987.04+1.58%

EthereumETH$1,755.20+1.06%

SolanaSOL$78.07+1.15%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0727+1.84%

XRPXRP$1.10+1.42%

BNBBNB$572.28+1.89%

Verwandte Nachrichten

Last-minute MiCA approvals mark end of EU transition periodCointelegraph

Europe’s MiCA crypto regime is fully in force: Here’s who wins and losesThe Block

Democrats ramp up election-integrity push as Polymarket keeps Bardella at 25.5%Blockchain.News

Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News

Why Poland is the only EU country where crypto firms can't get a MiCA licenseCoindesk

Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News

Regeln

If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

"Served in the role" means that an individual has formally held the position in an official capacity, whether by appointment, election, succession, or acting designation, and performed the duties of that role for any length of time during the time period.
If an individual serves multiple non-consecutive terms in the role, they will count once for each term (allowing an individual to be counted multiple times).
If an individual holds the role temporarily in an "acting" or "interim" capacity for any amount of time, or is formally designated as such, they count as serving in the role.
Dual officeholders count once per person even if holding multiple titles simultaneously.
If an individual is appointed but never sworn in, or withdraws before assuming office, they do not count as serving.