KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätKeine aktiven Kurse
Daten vom 08.09.2026, 20:25 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Kemi Badenoch 26%Führend unter 25 Optionen
Marktqualitat
26 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
3,4 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
9.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
20. Aug. 26, 01:00 UTC8. Jan. 35, 15:00 UTC
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Regeln
If the named outcome formally holds the position of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2035, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Prime Minister's Office, 10 Downing Street
- The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded.
- For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity—as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held—is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.
- Andy Burnham is the holder at Issuance.
- A former holder who returns after Issuance is not disqualified solely on the basis of that prior service.
- If a person not listed here is first to formally hold the office after Issuance, every market resolves NO.
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK??
- Kalshi bewertet Kemi Badenoch mit 26% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK? entschieden?
- Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK? soll am 8. Januar 2035 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the named outcome formally holds the position of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2035, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.