KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitLabour party 37%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
52 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
51,9 €
Liquidität
86.873,6 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
1.8% / 7.6%
Spread
5.8 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Minuten
16. Feb. 26, 15:0031. Aug. 29, 14:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Restore Britain party2%
Plattformen vergleichen· Labour party
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 37% | — | 51,9 € | 86.873,6 € | vor 18 Minuten | |
 Manifold Markets85% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 43% | — | — | — | vor 18 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from?
2J
+1.1pt43%
-1.9pt35.1%
+0.6pt13.7%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose55 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
If the Your Party party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two parties tie in seat count, then the party with the highest percentage of the vote will resolve to Yes and the others will resolve to No.
- If the Conservative party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Labour party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Reform party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Liberal Democratic party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$592. Juli25T Daten28. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
836.821,6 €Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
735.129 €July 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
668.853,5 €James Fishback: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
Presidential Election Winner 2028
465.709,9 €JD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
420.090,3 €Jon Ossoff: 15%KALSHI
KALSHI
Ohio Governor winner?
347.580,3 €Vivek Ramaswamy: 51%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Kalshi, Polymarket win pause against Minnesota's prediction market banCoindesk
CFTC seeks urgent ruling on Minnesota prediction market banCrypto News
Ripple’s other ledger: What $48 million in politics buysCrypto News
Polymarket Account in Farage Backer's Name Took $9M in Crypto From Unknown Sources: FTDecrypt
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.NewsRegeln
If the Your Party party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two parties tie in seat count, then the party with the highest percentage of the vote will resolve to Yes and the others will resolve to No.
- If the Conservative party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Labour party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Reform party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Liberal Democratic party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.