KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitLabour party 37%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
53 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
95,8 €
Liquidität
86.825,2 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
1.9% / 7.5%
Spread
5.6 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 20 Minuten
16. Feb. 26, 15:0031. Aug. 29, 14:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Restore Britain party2%
Plattformen vergleichen· Labour party
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 37% | — | 95,8 € | 86.825,2 € | vor 20 Minuten | |
 Manifold Markets85% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 43% | — | — | — | vor 20 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from?
2J
+1.1pt43%
-1.9pt35.1%
+0.6pt13.7%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose55 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
If the Your Party party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two parties tie in seat count, then the party with the highest percentage of the vote will resolve to Yes and the others will resolve to No.
- If the Conservative party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Labour party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Reform party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Liberal Democratic party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$1092. Juli25T Daten28. Juli
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If the Your Party party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two parties tie in seat count, then the party with the highest percentage of the vote will resolve to Yes and the others will resolve to No.
- If the Conservative party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Labour party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Reform party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Liberal Democratic party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.