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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]
Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]

Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]

RegulierungKI24J
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsKein KYC
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Commercial fusion power
Commercial fusion power 39.6%
Führend unter 88 Optionen
Prognostiker

274

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 3 Tagen

Veraltet
12. Juni 24, 13:391. Dez. 50, 20:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Commercial fusion power40%

Regeln

Resolves YES for any number of technologies that are widespread enough in 2049 but not in 2024.

Manifold Markets
  • Resolution criteria:
  • Significant Adoption: The technology must be adopted to a degree that indicates it has moved beyond the experimental or niche phase.
  • Operational Efficiency: The technology should demonstrate reliable and efficient operation in real-world conditions.
  • Regulatory Approval: If applicable, the technology must receive approval from relevant regulatory bodies.
  • Economic Viability: The technology should be commercially viable, with clear economic benefits.

Verwandte Märkte

Anthropic IPO by __?

Anthropic IPO by __?

22.225,3 €
December 31,: 90%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

What’s the least impressive thing you’re very sure AI still won’t be able to do before August 2027? [read description]

21.690,7 €
Kill everyone - Liron: 4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

633,5 €
Before Aug 1, 2026: 3%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

SpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026

380 €
≥$1T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

SpaceX highest valuation by end of June 2027

328 €
≥$1.75T: 97%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Which Companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

Which Companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

235,7 €
OpenAI: 56%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,632.85+2.10%EthereumETH$1,649.07+1.31%SolanaSOL$65.03+1.43%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.59%BNBBNB$594.65+1.55%XRPXRP$1.12+0.31%

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Regeln

Resolves YES for any number of technologies that are widespread enough in 2049 but not in 2024.

Manifold Markets
  • Resolution criteria:
  • Significant Adoption: The technology must be adopted to a degree that indicates it has moved beyond the experimental or niche phase.
  • Operational Efficiency: The technology should demonstrate reliable and efficient operation in real-world conditions.
  • Regulatory Approval: If applicable, the technology must receive approval from relevant regulatory bodies.
  • Economic Viability: The technology should be commercially viable, with clear economic benefits.