Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseIndia 75%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Prognostiker
22
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet15. März 24, 11:05 UTC31. Dez. 50, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will any UN country change its official name before the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]
Manifold MarketsWhich country will lose territory to a newly founded country by 2050? [add responses]
Manifold MarketsHow will global GDP be distributed among the countries in 2050? [add responses]
Manifold MarketsWill any UN country change its capital before 2028?
KalshiWill ICE change its name in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
resolves YES:
- if the international name in the english wikipedia article of the country remains changed for more than one week and this change is the result of a government/legislative decision of said country.
- if a successor country with a different name takes over all international contracts of its predecessor (example: Russia as successor of the Soviet Union)
- resolves NO:
- all non-resolved options by end of 2050.
- A country that ceases to exist is resolved as N/A
