KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 91%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
375,8 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
7.0% / 9.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
12. Aug. 26, 00:46 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Regeln
If legislation that reduces the federal taxes individuals owe on long-term capital gains by changing how those gains are taxed or calculated has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A qualifying change does not need to apply to all taxpayers or all long-term capital gains.
- Legislation qualifies if it directly reduces or eliminates federal tax owed on long-term capital gains for individuals generally or for a defined class of taxpayers or gains, whether through a rate reduction, exemption or exclusion, a change in applicable thresholds, a change in how basis or gains are calculated, or another statutory mechanism.
- Changes that only defer when tax is paid, or that reduce a taxpayer’s overall federal tax liability without specifically changing the taxation or calculation of long-term capital gains, do not qualify.
- A qualifying change may be temporary and need not take effect before the specified deadline, provided the legislation becomes law within the specified time period.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
Regulation
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 90.470,3 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-2.0pt51%
- Before Oct 1, 202749%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-6.0pt41%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4,8 Mio. €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 202754%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 877.037,1 €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt19.8%
- $1.75T–$2.0T+0.5pt18.9%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt17.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202795%
- Before Feb 1, 202793%
- Before Apr 1, 202792%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6540,9 €
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 91% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026? entschieden?
- Will federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If legislation that reduces the federal taxes individuals owe on long-term capital gains by changing how those gains are taxed or calculated has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird Will federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.