Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Other 86.3%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
21
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet18. Feb. 24, 03:55 UTC1. Jan. 31, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Was the Wagner Group’s rebellion in June 2023 a strategic ruse staged by Russian leadership?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketWhich leaders will leave office in 2026?
KalshiUS-Iran nuclear deal?
KalshiRegeln
We’re going by the List of rebellions in the United States on Wikipedia.
- Entries will need to remain up for 14 consecutive days for this to Resolve YES.
- Market will extend as needed.
- Previous entries include:
- Jan 6th, 2021
- CHOP in Seattle [2020]
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-6.0pt74%
- September 18-6.0pt69%
- September 11-10.0pt61%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 363.008,4 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)+0.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt3%
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+3.0pt79.2%
- Yes-3.0pt20.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 245.496,1 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.1pt49.6%
- October 31-1.0pt29.1%
- September 30-1.0pt12%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 301%
- July 310%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 62,8 Mio. €
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When’s the next American rebellion? 🇺🇸🔥👊🔫?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Other mit 86% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird When’s the next American rebellion? 🇺🇸🔥👊🔫 entschieden?
- When’s the next American rebellion? 🇺🇸🔥👊🔫 soll am 1. Januar 2031 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When’s the next American rebellion? 🇺🇸🔥👊🔫 abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: We’re going by the List of rebellions in the United States on Wikipedia.