Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseAt the end of February 2027 10.7%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
9
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet18. Mai 26, 21:01 UTC28. Feb. 27, 19:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Ukraine control any part of Crimea for at least a week before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine control any of Crimea before it takes back most of Luhansk or Donetsk?
Manifold MarketsAt the end of the war, will Ukraine control any territory they didn’t control at the start?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine control Mariupol on Jan 1st 2029?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketWho wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- Each option will resolve YES if, at the stated time, Ukraine has de facto control of the entirety of central Konstantinovka, Donetsk Oblast.
- For the purpose of this market, this refers to the area shaded yellow in the image below:
- [image]Each option will resolve NO if, at the stated time, any part of this area is contested or controlled by Russia.
- For the duration of the war, any YES or NO resolution must be supported by a majority of the following mappers:
- Black Bird Group